Tag Archives: Delphi

We can all help disarm the Delphi Technique . . .

IF WE EDUCATE OURSELVES AND INFORM OTHERS!

By AL Whitney © copyround 2015
Permission is granted for redistribution if linked to original and AntiCorruption Society.com is acknowledged.

The following brochure was prepared as a tool to pass out either before, during or after Delphi ‘events’. The contents are depicted below and a link to a pdf version follows. The page is 8 1/2 X 11 and is designed to be printed on card stock and cut into three brochures.


HAVE YOU BEEN DELPHIEDquestion

                     OR

ARE YOU ABOUT TO BE?

 Key tip-off word: CONSENSUS

The Delphi Technique was established by the private RAND corporation think-tank as a way to create the impression of group (public) input. It is commonly used to create a false “consensus”.

Group manipulation is more often

the rule than the exception.

The goal of the gathering will be presented to you as a problem to be solved or a policy to be established. You may or may not share the stated goal or their perception of the problem; however CRITICISM OF THE AGENDA will be quickly silenced.

Check list of a Delphi meeting:

  • Attendees are told their input is important and might even be referred to as “stakeholders”.
  • Polls, surveys or questionnaires are generally presented. The questions are designed to support a predetermined outcome. They rarely have a “none of the above” choice.
  • The group is generally divided into smaller groups and assigned a small aspect of the bigger issue. Participants in each group are not privy to the comments/concerns of the other groups.
  • Each ‘break out group’ will have a facilitator that will ‘guide’ their discussion.
  • Eventually the smaller groups will come together and share their ‘findings’.
  • If you disagree with the premise of the policy or choices being offered, you are likely to be marginalized or even insulted. This permits the planners to control any dissent to the predetermined outcome.

By controlling the following factors, a structured group can be manipulated into seemingly supporting the organizer’s predetermined objective: Continue reading

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The Delphi Perception Management Technique

WHAT IS A “CONSENSUS” AND WHY IS IT A SCAM?

By AL Whitney © copyround 2015
Permission is granted for redistribution if linked to original and AntiCorruption Society.com is acknowledged.

delphi

It is time to look at one of the “CONTROLLER’S” favored method of manipulating the public today: The Delphi Technique! The Delphi Technique is the creation of the nasty private think-tank founded by the Rockefellers, known as the RAND CORPORATION. [1]

Key in identifying the usage of the Delphi Technique is the word CONSENSUS

RAND has spread this deceptive strategy across the planet. It is currently and commonly used in academics, government institutions, private regional planning commissions, the military and non-profit organizations.

Two important and notable examples of the use of the Delphi Technique are:

Expert Consensus ReportIn fact, the National Academy of Sciences boasts their usage of the Delphi Technique in creating mumbo jumbo scientific reports by openly labeling these reports as: Expert Consensus Report. [See: Expert Consensus Reports are Scientific Mumbo-Jumbo]

Most community organizers and so-called government agency employees have been trained in the RAND Corporation’s Delphi Technique. It is taught to facilitators as a method of getting a group of people to believe they have made a group decision. If you have ever attended a meeting whereas those in charge of the meeting break the attendees into working groups or break-out sessions, who are then “tasked” to discuss a topic and bring the results back to the larger group, you have been Delphied! If when the meeting is over you are not scratching your head as to what just transpired, you are indeed a rare exception. The confusion experienced immediately post-meeting is an absolute sure sign that you were Delphied! The facilitators of the gathering generally proceed to report the outcome of this confusion as if a “consensus” of opinion had been reached by the participants. It is unlikely that their version of a “consensus” represents your opinions, thoughts, ideas or concerns. It is far more likely that their version of a “consensus” represents the goal of the facilitators who initiated the meeting in the first place. The outcome was predetermined. Your job was to sign in, fill a chair and allow them to cite you (either individually or as a group) as a supporter of their self-serving goal or agenda. Continue reading

‘Expert Consensus Reports’ are scientific mumbo jumbo!

THE “EXPERT CONSENSUS REPORT” TECHNIQUE IS TOUTED BY THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES!

by AL Whitney (C) copyround 2014
Permission is granted for redistribution if linked to original and the AntiCorruption Society is acknowledged

expert consensus report 2SO MUCH FOR THE EXPERTISE OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES.

To understand the significance of the National Academy of Science’s  admission, one  simply has to take a close look at the Delphi method of consensus – developed by the private RAND Corporation – and consider whose interests the RAND Corporation was created to serve.

The Delphi method
The Delphi method was developed by the RAND Corporation, the Robber Baron’s private think tank.

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Delphi method is a structured communication technique, originally developed as a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts. [Item # 1] The experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. [Item 2] After each round, a facilitator provides an anonymous summary [Item #3] of the experts’ forecasts from the previous round as well as the reasons they provided for their judgments. Thus, experts are encouraged to revise their earlier answers in light of the replies of other members of their panel. [Item #4] It is believed that during this process the range of the answers will decrease and the group will converge towards the “correct” answer. Finally, the process is stopped after a pre-defined stop criterion (e.g. number of rounds, achievement of consensus, stability of results) and the mean or median scores of the final rounds determine the results. [Item #5]

Delphi is based on the principle that forecasts (or decisions) from a structured group of individuals [Item #6] are more accurate than those from unstructured groups. The technique can also be adapted for use in face-to-face meetings, and is then called mini-Delphi or Estimate-Talk-Estimate (ETE). Delphi has been widely used for business forecasting and has certain advantages over another structured forecasting approach, prediction markets.

Item #1

Who selects the panel of experts? By determining who is an “expert” and by cherry-picking those so-called experts, the final result can be easily rigged. Continue reading